Founding Season · play money

Anyone can talk. Build the record that proves you can call it.

Brier League is a monthly forecasting tournament on real games and real events. Every pick is a side plus a confidence. Every score is a Brier score. Every record is public, permanent, and verifiable.

1 · Call it

A monthly slate — Top-25 college football, marquee NFL, MLB pennant races, plus econ, weather, and culture. Events are chosen for genuine uncertainty, not big names. Pick a side, set your confidence from 55–95%, revise until lock.

2 · Get scored

Picks go public at lock — no hindsight edits, no deleted takes. Brier scoring rewards honest confidence, not loud confidence. Scoring half the month's events qualifies you for rank.

3 · Own the record

Your profile is a live calibration résumé: lifetime Brier, monthly finishes, permanent badges. Share it, embed it, point at it mid-argument.

One league, one flat subscription

$4 League

$4/month · play money this season · September 2026 free

There is no cash pool, and that is the point. Your subscription buys the slate, the public calibration résumé, and a leaderboard where rank is auditable because every pick goes public at lock. Top monthly finishers and standout single calls earn permanent badges.

The only amount ever at stake is the flat monthly subscription. Picks carry no stake, there are no deposits, re-buys, or top-ups, and nothing about this can be escalated.